How La Nina affects weather

The El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the Earth’s most influential driver of climate variability. La Nina, the cold phase of the ENSO cycle, is partly causing Somalia’s drought. A prolonged La Nina cycle which began in late 2020 and is expected to last until the end of the year has caused dry air to come down around Africa.

Neutral CONDITIONS

The Walker Circulation is an east-west vertical atmospheric circulation above the Equatorial Pacific

Moist air rises over normally warm seas, causing abundant rainfall over Asia and Australia

Atmospheric winds

Walker

Circulation

Somalia

Cool

Warm

Pacific Ocean

Easterly trade winds push warm surface waters westward

Upwelling of cold water cools the air, giving South America a cooler and dryer climate

LA NINA CONDITIONS

Marked by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures across the east-central Equatorial Pacific

Strengthening trade winds push warm waters and rain clouds towards Asia

Dry air comes down in South America and Africa

Somalia

Cooler than normal

Warmer

than normal

Pacific Ocean

Surface waters in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean become significantly cooler, increasing the upwelling of cold water

Transition zone

between warm surface

water and cold deep water

OCEANIC NINO INDEX

Measures sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific Ocean to track El Nino and La Nina cycles

La Nina

(cold phase)

Neutral

El Nino

(warm phase)

°C

1990

’95

2000

’05

’10

’15

’20

Sources: Australia Bureau of Meteorology; NOAA National Weather Service

W. Foo | Reuters, June 16, 2022

How La Nina affects weather

The El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the Earth’s most influential driver of climate variability. La Nina, the cold phase of the ENSO cycle, is partly causing Somalia’s drought. A prolonged La Nina cycle which began in late 2020 and is expected to last until the end of the year has caused dry air to come down around Africa.

Neutral CONDITIONS

The Walker Circulation is an east-west vertical atmospheric circulation above the Equatorial Pacific

LA NINA CONDITIONS

Marked by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures across the east-central Equatorial Pacific

Moist air rises over normally warm seas, causing abundant rainfall over Asia and Australia

Strengthening trade winds push warm waters and rain clouds towards Asia

Dry air comes down in South America and Africa

Atmospheric winds

Walker

Circulation

Somalia

Somalia

Cooler than normal

Cool

Warmer

than normal

Warm

Pacific Ocean

Pacific Ocean

Surface waters in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean become significantly cooler, increasing the upwelling of cold water

Easterly trade winds push warm surface waters westward

Upwelling of cold water cools the air, giving South America a cooler and dryer climate

Transition zone

between warm surface

water and cold deep water

OCEANIC NINO INDEX

Measures sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific Ocean to track El Nino and La Nina cycles

La Nina (cold phase)

Neutral

El Nino (warm phase)

°C

1990

’95

2000

’05

’10

’15

’20

Sources: Australia Bureau of Meteorology; NOAA National Weather Service

W. Foo | Reuters, June 16, 2022