Six states with electoral heft in 2020
“Battleground” or “swing” states, which can switch back and forth between the two major parties in U.S. presidential votes and are heavily courted by candidates, will be crucial to deciding the winner of this year’s election.
The road to the White House runs through a handful of U.S. states where the election is expected to be especially close due to changing demographics and the polarizing politics of Republican President Donald Trump.
Arizona
Population: 7.2 million
Electoral votes: 11
2016 result: ✓Trump +3.6 pct. pts.
2020 Presidential and Senate Elections
Favorability (Net difference between total favorable and unfavorable)
Would you say you are generally favorable or unfavorable toward. . .
State of the nation
Voting
Florida
Population: 21.4 million
Electoral votes: 29
2016 result: ✓Trump +1.2 pct. pts.
2020 Presidential Election
Favorability (Net difference between total favorable and unfavorable)
Would you say you are generally favorable or unfavorable toward. . .
State of the nation
Voting
Michigan
Population: 9.9 million
Electoral votes: 16
2016 result: ✓Trump +0.2 pct. pt.
2020 Presidential and Senate Elections
Favorability (Net difference between total favorable and unfavorable)
Would you say you are generally favorable or unfavorable toward. . .
State of the nation
Voting
Pennsylvania
Population: 12.8 million
Electoral votes: 20
2016 result: ✓Trump +0.7 pct. pt.
2020 Presidential Election
Favorability (Net difference between total favorable and unfavorable)
Would you say you are generally favorable or unfavorable toward. . .
State of the nation
Voting
North Carolina
Population: 10.4 million
Electoral votes: 15
2016 result: ✓Trump +3.6 pct. pts.
2020 Presidential and Senate Elections
Favorability (Net difference between total favorable and unfavorable)
Would you say you are generally favorable or unfavorable toward. . .
State of the nation
Voting
Wisconsin
Population: 5.8 million
Electoral votes: 10
2016 result: ✓Trump +0.7 pct. pt.
2020 Presidential Election
Favorability (Net difference between total favorable and unfavorable)
Would you say you are generally favorable or unfavorable toward. . .
State of the nation
Voting
Graphics by Travis Hartman and Matthew Weber
Sources: Reuters/IPSOS; 270towin; U.S. Census